Breaking Down Betting Odds For Saturday's WEC “Aldo vs. Faber” PPV

By JOHN SPECHT
MMANEWS.COM Staff Writer

For those fight fans out there that like to place legal wagers on MMA, or have thought about it, we are going to start going over betting tips and information, in addition to summaries of the lines on some of the more popular fights coming up in the future.

To start things off, I am going to go over the lines for a couple of the fights from the much anticipated WEC 48: Aldo vs. Faber Saturday night for the promotions first pay-per-view.

We will start with what could be the best fight on the card, in the rematch between Donald Cerrone and Benson Henderson. After a crazy initial fight, we knew it would be only a matter of time before we saw these two square off for a second time. Henderson comes in as the slight favorite at a -120 and Cerrone a -110. Normally the underdog is listed with (+) next to them and the favorite with a (-). This is referred to as the “moneyline.” In this case, the matchup is considered even to the point where both fighters have the (-) next to them. With these numbers, you would have to wager $1.10 on Cerrone to earn $1, and $1.20 on Henderson to earn the same amount of one dollar. Normally, you will not see this type of line.

The key to making profits in betting MMA over the long term is to only bet about 3-5% of your total bankroll. This is VERY important to abide by for long term success, no matter how good you feel about a fight. Another key is to wager on the underdog (only in main or co-main events) more times than not. This will ensure that you incrementally grow your bankroll over time. If you feel like you have to bet on every fight, or get rich in one night, you will never succeed betting on MMA over the long haul.

For the Aldo vs. Faber fight Aldo comes in at a -350 and Faber the underdog at a +260. This means you have to lay $3.50 to win a modest dollar. For Faber, every dollar you wager will give you a return of $2.60. This is a number I like in reference to Faber and his chances of winning compared to the return for the money wagered.

My underdog pick of the night though, is going to be the Tyler Toner vs. Brandon Visher fight. I have trained with Toner at Amal Easton's in Boulder and been witness to his road to the WEC. Toner is coming in as the underdog at a +240 and Visher at a -300. Toner will net $2.40 for every dollar wagered. If you bet on Visher you would have to wager $3 to make $1.

Good Luck and stay tuned for lines on upcoming cards!