Originally Posted by Dork8503
Serra TKOed GSP last time.
Thats why its like that.
Also when is the last time Serra has been ko'ed or subbed.
It was a long ass time ago with Shonnie. But Serra has never been subbed as far as i know.
Gsp was tko'ed by Serra or tapped from punches, or whatever you wanna say happen the last time they fought, plus Serra is a bjj black belt and Hughes Subbed GSP.
I know it seems weird, but it makes sense in a weird way to me lol.
All i mean is Serra is more likely to tko/ko GSP based on how fast and easy he made it look last time.
Your line of thinking makes sense, but this would be why I think it is flawed.
If I bet on Matt Serra to win the fight, I'm gonna get 5.6 to 1 odds on it.
Now if I bet on Matt Serra to win by TKO/KO, a specific way of winning, I'm going to get 1 to 1.5 odds on it? So going out on a limb and picking a specific way for a huge underdog to win isn't rewarded, but would actually be borderline stupid to bet on. If you think Serra is going to win by TKO, you'd bet on him to just straight win, because the odds on the specific type of win is awful.
So the line of thinking makes sense, but is entirely flawed in the way it was executed.