well we have Jardine vs Rampage Chuck vs Shogun Lyoto vs Thiago
Imo if Machida wins his fight then he gets the next shot. If Thiago wins then I think he will have one more fight before a shot
If Thiago wins and Rampage wins I think 'Page' gets the shot. If Keith wins then he (imo) will not fight Rashad because they train together. (they might but i dont think they would).
So if all that happens and T. Silva and Jardine both win then I think it might go to Chuck vs Shogun winner or they just give it to Silva if Rashad doesnt want to take time off.
But I think if Lyoto wins then he gets it. If he losses and Page wins then Page gets its and then so on like I wrote above. Thats just my opinion I hope it might clear some things up for you.
1-1 in av/sig bets