Coming off knee surgery and a long layoff to face one of the best fighters in the LHW division I think is going to be too much for Shogun. And the last time he came off a long layoff after knee surgery was against Coleman and he looked like shit. I am not saying Shogun will look like what again but he will need to bring his A game for a guy with the all around skills Evan has.
Shogun is not only going to have to recover from surgery but spend a lot of time working on his takedown defense. I know his BJJ is amazing, but Evans is no slouch in the submission defense department. And even if he is active from the bottom the point is unless he can submit Evans he loses this fight from the bottom. Shogun's best chance to keep this fight standing and hurt Evans and TKO him. Fighting off his back for five rounds = Evans new LHW champion.
After everything I said right now, I am going with Shogun. I think he will find a way to hurt Evans and do what Thiago and Rampage could not and that is finish him off in the 4th round. But I would not be surprised to see Evans pull off the win. Either way this is going to be a great fight.
Greatest of All Time