I think Penn was plenty big for a LW. I think his cardio and his mental state were the biggest detriments. I think his refusal to adopt any type of game planning till MMA had caught up--and passed him--was critical as well.
What if Fedor had adopted a regimen that had leaned him out to within reach of LHW? [Let's just go ahead and assume that in this alternate universe you're suggesting, the Fink took the path he was truly destined to perform and produced lo-quality Russian porn with mail-order bride-wanna-be's]
What if Anderson wasn't hobbled by soares, and made enough money where he literally gave not a single fuck, and felt comfortable enough to challenge himself against whoever, whenever, wherever?
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