I'm wondering if by saying "going to get ugly" there are going to be some legal matters brought into it. Kind of thinking we might see some charges of bad faith bargaining or tampering while under contract or in a situation where negotiations weren't supposed to happen.
Saying it's going to get ugly doesn't sound like a money issue to me. Dana and Zuffa have never been overly concerned about a fighter getting when they didn't feel like he was worth the money he was getting elsewhere or the deal didn't make sense from their perspective. While Alvarez is a is a talented fighter he doesn't make or break the UFC LW division.
More then a financial issues here.