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[Cat--Smasher]

Nick Diaz inching towards 2-to-1 favorite status over Carlos Condit

■Welterweight eliminator (interim championship): Nick Diaz (-180) vs. Carlos Condit (+150)

http://www.fightopinion.com/2012/01/...t+Industry.%29

[initial_zen]

odds arent good enough to bet on either imo. Gonna be an awesome fight though!

[LefthookStcrook]

Condit is going to be the underdog all the way up to fight night imo, it'd take some pretty heavy odds for me to bet against either one of these guys.

I think I'll just sit on my couch, smoke some joints, drink some beers and watch this epic war without any care on who wins or losses. Sounds good to me lol.

[goodtimes]

Ya I wouldn't take those those odds, the +150 on Condit seems pretty accurate, definitely wouldn't take Diaz as a 2 to 1 favorite.

I just feel like neither guy can dictate where the fight will take place, so it will most likely be a stand up war with occasional clinch fighting, and while Condit has a slight edge in overall muay thai skills, Diaz's boxing is significantly better. Since Condit also has a tendency to take a lot of damage in fights, and Diaz is the master of dishing out more then he takes, I think Diaz takes a 5 round war of attrition.

[LefthookStcrook]

Originally Posted by goodtimes

Ya I wouldn't take those those odds, the +150 on Condit seems pretty accurate, definitely wouldn't take Diaz as a 2 to 1 favorite.

I just feel like neither guy can dictate where the fight will take place, so it will most likely be a stand up war with occasional clinch fighting, and while Condit has a slight edge in overall muay thai skills, Diaz's boxing is significantly better. Since Condit also has a tendency to take a lot of damage in fights, and Diaz is the master of dishing out more then he takes, I think Diaz takes a 5 round war of attrition.

I think were going to see a bloody shit talkin Nick, and a tired Condit at the start of the 5th. Ill be shocked if either of these guys finish the other, but Im giving the edge to Nick for that.

[travtera]

Originally Posted by goodtimes

Ya I wouldn't take those those odds, the +150 on Condit seems pretty accurate, definitely wouldn't take Diaz as a 2 to 1 favorite.

I just feel like neither guy can dictate where the fight will take place, so it will most likely be a stand up war with occasional clinch fighting, and while Condit has a slight edge in overall muay thai skills, Diaz's boxing is significantly better. Since Condit also has a tendency to take a lot of damage in fights, and Diaz is the master of dishing out more then he takes, I think Diaz takes a 5 round war of attrition.

I agree with your breakdown of their match up and feel Diaz should be the favorite, (Although my money is on Condit) I'd have to say that Nick is equally guilty of having a tendency to take damage as Condit if not more so. How often have we seen Nick drop his hands and lead with his face as he engages. The dude had to have plastic surgery to repair the scar tissue around his face. He took a shit kicking in the Paul Daley fight and Cyborg tagged him numerous times in that fight. Risk is a part of both their styles, which is why I'm jacked about the match up. Both guys are coming for war.

[TheDoucheyWun]

Maybe I'll wager a bet on this fight. Dont give a fuck what any of you say Condit is smart money on this fight and he take's it when he wants. Anyone down 1 month name bet?

[dbader08]

Originally Posted by TheDoucheyWun

Maybe I'll wager a bet on this fight. Dont give a fuck what any of you say Condit is smart money on this fight and he take's it when he wants. Anyone down 1 month name bet?

im down. you sure you are though?

[TapOut27]

Lines should be closer to even, with diaz being maybe the slight favorite. Condit is worth the bet money wise (even though I think diaz will win)

[Diegonightmare]

The odds seem about right to me also. How does Condit win this fight? He isn't going to submit or outgrapple Diaz. Diaz is impossible to finish on the feet, and arguably with his style Condit only has a couple rounds to accomplish it anyway before the damage starts to accumulate. Yes Condit has a diverse striking game, but Diaz can take plenty of damage without getting stopped.

Don't get me wrong, it'll be a WAR and I love both guys, but I don't see any likely route for Condit to win this one. I have Diaz pulling away late to finish him or win rounds 4 and 5 big.