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Old 09-22-2012, 10:28 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Default UFC 152: Betting Lines

As of 1:00 pm EST.

Just something to talk about. Even if you do not gamble. It is still fun to see what the books believe about the fight.

Place your bets gents.

Belfort +575
Jones -900
Rounds: 1.5 (My bet of the night.)

Johnson +205
Benavidez -260
Rounds: 4.5 (They expect a decision.)

Stann +160
Bisping -200
Rounds: 2.5

These guys have both been talking about the finish. I believe I would take the Under in this match.

Hollett +300
Hamill -400
Rounds: 2.5

I feel like Hamill is being way over-favored here. I think he should win, but this is the value bet of the week. Hollett by decision because Bisping is in the building. I hope you get that.

Swanson +205
Olivera -260
Rounds: 1.5

Oli missed weight, so we know his cut was bad. But the books see this as a 1st round contest, which asks the question "does it matter?". Which Olivera is gonna show up? Jekyll or Hyde? I'll watch this one without wagering.

Magalhaes +140
Pokrajac -170
Rounds: 1.5

I'll take Vinny, but not with a lot of confidence. Books think it's gonna be a slug-fest. I hope so.

Grant +140
Dunham -170
Rounds: 2.5

I like Dunham in the semi-upset here. Decision Dunham.


I can post the other undercard fights too if you like. Enjoy!
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Old 09-22-2012, 01:33 PM   #2 (permalink)
 
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Why did you call Dunham an upset if he is -170?
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Old 09-22-2012, 02:00 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Yea. You are right. Still taking Dunham.
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Old 09-22-2012, 02:17 PM   #4 (permalink)
 
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On the Jon Jones fight with Belfort it says 1.5 rounds. Does that mean you could place a bet on Belfort to go two rounds and you win? If so I like that bet. What does that one pay off at? Is it if I bet a 100 I win a hundred (even bet).

Thanks for posting this.
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Old 09-22-2012, 03:08 PM   #5 (permalink)
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The over in the Jones-Belfort matchup is -140.

You have to bet 140 to get 100.
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Old 09-22-2012, 03:08 PM   #6 (permalink)
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The line on the Jones/Vitor fight to go over 1.5 rounds is -140. It's +110 for the under. It was switched around 4 or 5 days ago, with the over being the underdog, but I guess alot of people jumped on the bet and made it the favorite.

One line that I am currently loving right now, is Jake Ellenberger is sitting at +237 to beat Hieron inside the distance. Also, Kampmann is like +220 or so to beat Hendricks by decision, which I think there is a good chance of with both guys' toughness, Kampmann's good defensive wrestling, and the way Hendricks faded and starting throwing sloppy and looping punches in his fight with Kos.

But for UFC 152, I got a bet on Pokrajac, Jones inside the distance, Bisping, Oliveira, and a small play on Mitch Gagnon, even though he will prolly lose lol. Oh well, I think he can knock Watson out early and it's pretty good dog odds so why not play something small. I also have a small play on Bisping wins in round 3 @ +1675. I think he can wear Stann down in the earlier rounds with strikes and takedowns/gnp and he may really want to leave an impression on Dana White since apparently he wants title shot pretty bad (even though I don't think he deserves one).

I also got a small play on Oliveira/Swanson gets FOTN at +575.

These dog plays are unlikely to hit, but you don't have to risk much to get a potentially pretty good pay out.
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Old 09-22-2012, 03:12 PM   #7 (permalink)
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@dbader My site doesn't do props for UFC for whatever reason. But I do like your choices. Hope you cash in tonight.
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Old 09-22-2012, 03:28 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Thanks man. Should be some competitive fights tonight! Gonna be good to see some great fight action either way, I don't have alot of money wagered so it's not like it matters much either way, it's just for a little fun really.
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Old 09-22-2012, 04:36 PM   #9 (permalink)
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2/2 so far. Gagnon as the dog and Seth B. as the slight favorite.
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