 | |
03-14-2013, 12:10 PM
|
#1 (permalink)
| | Reputation: 300+
Status: Rookie Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 75
| UFC158: Betting Lines
I figure some people may wanna know.
NICK DIAZ +355
GEORGES ST. PIERRE -475
CARLOS CONDIT +110
JOHNY HENDRICKS -140
NATE MARQUARDT +135
JAKE ELLENBERGER -165
CHRIS CAMOZZI -105
NICK RING -125
COLIN FLETCHER +230
MIKE RICCI -300
BOBBY VOELKER +150
PATRICK COTE -180
JOHN MAKDESSI -110
DARON CRUICKSHANK -120
I can add any of the other undercard fights if anyone is interested. I will update on Saturday if there are any significant changes.
|
| |
03-14-2013, 12:49 PM
|
#2 (permalink)
| | Reputation: ∞
Status: Blobfish Join Date: Nov 2008 Location: Northern Ontario Posts: 4,198
|
Fletcher is the one I'd put money on. I'd lean towards Ricci pulling out the decision, but it's his first LW fight (and presumably his first cut to).
My guess is, being from Tristar, and facing a Brit, he'll have been drilling his wrestling non-stop, so I'm thinking Ricci by decision, but at those odds, Fletcher is probably the best bet listed.
Makdessi and Ellenberger, are IMO, safe bets; but not high yielding.
|
| |
03-14-2013, 12:59 PM
|
#3 (permalink)
| | Reputation: ∞
Status: Go Cards Join Date: Aug 2007 Location: 'Merica Posts: 5,498
|
I got all the money lines and over/unders added in MickeyKnox's thread for every fight on the card...
Liking Nate, Hendricks, Ring, Voelker, Miller, and Makdessi (got him @+145)...
|
| |
03-14-2013, 07:30 PM
|
#4 (permalink)
| | Reputation: ∞
Status: Champion Join Date: Aug 2012 Location: Sackville N.B Posts: 1,553
| Quote:
Originally Posted by Leucoethiops Fletcher is the one I'd put money on. I'd lean towards Ricci pulling out the decision, but it's his first LW fight (and presumably his first cut to).
My guess is, being from Tristar, and facing a Brit, he'll have been drilling his wrestling non-stop, so I'm thinking Ricci by decision, but at those odds, Fletcher is probably the best bet listed. | This isn't Ricci's first fight at LW, nor is it his first cut. He fought Pat Curran at LW at Bellator 14. I think he was only at WW for TUF. I could see Ricci winning by decision as well, but I wouldn't be surprised to see Fletcher pull off a submission.
__________________ Quote:
Originally Posted by AnchorPunch So if I don't sin, when I die, I go to Canada? Right? | |
| |
03-15-2013, 07:14 AM
|
#5 (permalink)
| | Reputation: 1000+
Status: Champion Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 1,819
|
im doing some form of Condit, marquart, Ring, and Dillashaw in parlays... gotta wait till after wiegh ins though
|
| |
03-15-2013, 07:21 AM
|
#6 (permalink)
|
|
What site do you guys in the USA use for online betting?
__________________ Quote:
Originally Posted by KevoOnTheRadio But I'm not going to sit here and debate the definition of "miraculous". That's for our lord and savior Bill Murray to decide. | |
| |
03-15-2013, 07:50 AM
|
#7 (permalink)
| | Reputation: ∞
Status: Blobfish Join Date: Nov 2008 Location: Northern Ontario Posts: 4,198
| Quote:
Originally Posted by Fe1 This isn't Ricci's first fight at LW, nor is it his first cut. He fought Pat Curran at LW at Bellator 14. I think he was only at WW for TUF. I could see Ricci winning by decision as well, but I wouldn't be surprised to see Fletcher pull off a submission. | You're right, TUF is where I saw that ugly, ugly man.
|
| |
03-15-2013, 08:14 AM
|
#9 (permalink)
|
Status: The I.Q. Poster Join Date: Sep 2008 Location: Greater Toronto Area. Posts: 11,753
|
GSP, Elkins, Story and Dillashaw are my locks.
Voelker, Miller, Condit and Ricci are my risky-ish bets. I'd also put a little bit of play money on Roop, but not too certain on him coming off the layoff, so I didn't touch it.
I think Makdessi/Cruickshanck has the makings of a stylistic tossup, depending on how Makdessi chooses to approach the fight, that's a risky fight IMO. And I'm not even touching the Ring fight because he fights to razor close decisions and, despite my personal belief that Camozzi will beat him, that's a tough fight to bet on.
__________________ MY MMA RANKINGS HW Velasquez Cigano Werdum Cormier Bigfoot Barnett Mir Browne LHW Jones Machida Evans Hendo Davis Goose Teixeira Shogun Mousasi Bader MW ASilva Rockhold Belfort Weidman Jacare Okami Kennedy Consta Belcher Boetsch WW GSP Hendricks Condit MacDonald Diaz Maia Fitch Kampmann Ellenberger Pyle LW Bendo Alvarez Maynard Melendez Thomson J.Miller Diaz Pettis Chandler Grant dos Anjos FW Aldo Mendes Curran Lamas Frankie Zombie BW Cruz Barao Fernandes Faber Moraes
|
| |
03-15-2013, 10:08 PM
|
#10 (permalink)
| | Reputation: ∞
Status: Blobfish Join Date: Nov 2008 Location: Northern Ontario Posts: 4,198
| Quote:
Originally Posted by Fedorlei Gomipierre GSP, Elkins, Story and Dillashaw are my locks. | I agree with this, I just hope Story doesn't sleep on Mulhern.
I put my coin down on a parley between GSP, Dillashaw, and Story; relatively low risk, but relatively low reward. Quote:
Originally Posted by Fedorlei Gomipierre Voelker, Miller, Condit and Ricci are my risky-ish bets. I'd also put a little bit of play money on Roop, but not too certain on him coming off the layoff, so I didn't touch it. | For me, the value bets are in Miller and Fletcher:
Miller was a C+ MW, and probably will be a C+ WW, but he's battle tested, durable, and can be slick. Mein is a B to B- level WW, with wins over some noteable competition; if he can keep it standing, the fight should go his way.
Fletcher and Ricci is a tossup where I'm concerned. Ricci has faced better competition, but lost to all of it.
With odds for Miller and Fletcher at +235 and +245 respectively, I chose to throw down minimal, but equal amounts of coin on both fighters. I also chose to pay the same amount into a parlay at a 10:1 payout. If one wins, and the other loses, I break even. If both win, I'll come out with $65 for the $15 investment. If neither win, I guess I'm shit outta luck; but still ahead if my 3 odds-on-favourites all pull out the 'W'.
|
| |  | | |
Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests) | | | | Thread Tools | | | | Display Modes | Linear Mode |
Posting Rules
| You may not post new threads You may not post replies You may not post attachments You may not edit your posts HTML code is On | | | All times are GMT -7. The time now is 08:54 PM. |
| Quick Member Login Top 5 Latest Threads Latest MMA News Advertisements |