Originally Posted by AJL416AZ
Gabe is better. Old AA, new AA, whatever AA.
Arlovski spent the whole fight afraid of the takedowns from Werdum, which were horrible. he also couldnt do real damage past Werdums countering and striking, which is decent at best.
he has a rocket for a right, but he is afraid of going to ground against a superior technician, and it would stilt his striking because hes not a one-punch combo guy like Chuck.
this tentativeness against expert grappler is why Napao will win. Gonzaga is aggressive to a fault, in every fight. presses forwards, gameplans extremely well, isn't afraid to take shots for a takedown, and has a solid chin. his standup is pretty good because of the same tenacity, he throws all of his shots with bad intentions. his ground technique is also off the chain, and he is heavier then Arlovski
despite the broken nose, i really had Gonzaga pressing a lot in the fight with Randy, just getting tied up by the superior clinch fighter and wrestler. but with more experience in the cage, with wrestlers, and more time spent standing, he'll become even more dangerous, and i dont think Arlovski has the tools to deal with a guy as well rounded as Gonzaga, particular with the focus on BJJ.
How do you figure he has a solid chin. I have seen him rocked by Randy, who is not known for his power and Werdum tko'ed him an Werdum deff isnt known for his power.
But Gabe has never fought anyone with near the power AA has in his punch. From seeing him rocked an tkoed by less then powerful strikers i am willing to believe one shot is all it takes to put him down for the count.
Your right Gabe does press forward an thats what will cost him this fight. AA has amazing countering ability with speed an power, an will hurt Gabe.
Stand up Gabe loses hands down. I see people say he is a powerful striker but i have yet to see that. He has nice power in his kicks but his kick isn't his fist.
Sure Gabe can sub AA but i really doubt that too. AA isn't going to throw kicks an is the better wrestler. I have yet to see Gabe present good take down ability to make me think he can take AA down. Then you say he is willing to take shots to get the take down, sure let him take shots because then he will be waking up.
I am sure you will then go on to say well Pano took AA down, well that was one fight.
People seem to forget that AA is a national sambo champion. Sure he doesn't use it, but you can believe he still trains in it in case he ever has too.
I see people keep dogging AA for his Werdum performance but that was a great smart performance. He fought very smart, against a top 10 fighter. Why would he risk going to the ground with the best bjj prac at hw.
AA imo is just to good for Gabe, i just don't see him winning this. Only thing that stops me from saying Gabe has no chance is AA's chin, but i really don't think Gabe will have the chance to hit AA.
AA is faster, hits harder, better footwork, head movement, way better striker, and just as big. Well AA fights at like 243 an is solid muscle, Gabe at 250 so i am willing to bet AA is just as strong.
AA by ko at 2 minutes into the first round.
I just don't think much of Gabe.
Everyone will be jumping on the AA bandwagon when he beats Nog and then becomes hw champion again.