i think just by the way things are setting up, that providing AA wins, which i think the ufc is banking on AA will likely get a shot at the title. lets take a look at the heavyweight division.
Nog is the champ, who is the #1 contender?
Werdum was thought to be however is looks like he'll take on Vera
Gonzaga just lost
Sylvia wont get a shot until he wins again at least
Mir just won against a guy who doesn't have a win in the ufc.
Kongo needs to get by Herring
it sets up like this imo.
AA beat O'brien at 82
Kongo beats Herring (although it doesn't really matter)
Werdum takes on Vera at 85
Slyvia vs Mir
Lesnar vs Kongo
Gonzaga vs Eddie Sanchez?
and than you have a big fight in Nog vs AA
Kongo Lesnar makes sense because with the amount that Lesnar is getting, i dont think he gets a guy who hasn't won in a while, just doesn't make sense. Kongo has nothing for a ground game and if he beats Herring, a fight with Lesnar means another win gets him a title shot for sure.
And really to think about it, if you are a fan of Kongo's than the ONLY way he is getting to that title is this path, because facing ground guys like nog, werdum and gonzaga.