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[Pasha K]

No. Shogun and Mirko are my hopes to save a little bit the horrible 2011 that has been for me in terms of MMA. They should win.

Mirko by LHK and Shogun by brutal KO XD

[dbader08]

Originally Posted by noahm

Being a Shogun fan, I think JBJ takes this. The reach and grappling are just going to be too much to effectively implement his game. I don't think ring rust will be a big factor though.

I "fourth" the above prediction.

Idk dude Shogun has some quick kicks. I doubt Jones will be able to do much from the outside. Jones' grappling is good but Shogun doesn't mind being on his back. Shogun is far, far better off his back than anyone Jones has fought. I'd also give Shogun the edge in cardio as long as he comes in great shape, which I'm sure he will. Shogun is smart too, and won't panick or make a dumb mistake like some of Jones' opponents.

[trustkill]

I've been losing sleep over this match up since the night of UFC126 when it was announced. Here's my key dilemma; I would like to dismiss all but one of Shogun's loses to injuries/judging (Coleman, Forrest, Machida) with the only legit defeat going to Babulu in his 5th career fight in 2003. Even if I can dismiss the loss to Forrest as the result of injury, the truth is, he's coming off another injury and substantial layoff. Jones is fresh as hell and riding a tidal wave of confidence.

I'd like to think that Shogun's fancy new "American surgery" will fix all of his problems but I can't. I think Shogun's key to victory will be his ability to actually hit Jon Jones (nobody's really tested his chin yet). I think Jones knows this and will use his wrestling to take the fight to Shogun rather than let him stand in the pocket and get comfortable. Bones would be wise to keep Shogun off balance, and I think with his reach advantage (remember Forrest's has great reach) and outstanding cardio (remember how Shogun looked against Coleman) he will be effective at doing that. I worry for Shogun on the ground if he's fatigued and Bones gets top position (we could see some elbows of legend).

I would put my money on a healthy Shogun. Unfortunately this is the real world and I can't call a winner . . . . I also don't have any money to bet, either.