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I'm from the South so I am a big SEC fan and will be pulling for AL but my gut is telling me that TX will pull it off. Anytime people completely dismiss one team in a championship game, that team usually wins (see TX v. USC). Before that game people were not only talking about how huge the mismatch was but ESPN held a special segment w/ "experts" and essentially hailed that SC team as the greatest of all time.
So Roll Tide but I think TX gets it done and stakes their claim to CFB's team of the decade.