Anthony Pettis vs. Joe Lauzon: It’s hard to imagine Joe Lauzon (21-6) fighting for a title, but this one does indeed have minor title ramifications attached. Lauzon’s been petitioning the idea of winner gets a title fight recently, and Pettis (14-2) was expected to challenge for the belt not long ago himself. Regardless of the outcome, a winner here makes a huge leap in the divisional rankings.

Lauzon is known for packing a wallop in his punch and a slick jiu-jitsu attack. He’s also as unpredictable as they come. He’s on fire for fight a, and uninspired for fight b. Being arguably the closest he’s ever been to title contention, one must extend the benefit of the doubt and figure he comes into this fight in tip top shape. In which case, he’s dangerous everywhere the fight goes, especially early, and during scrambles. I think the biggest differential between these two is cardio to be completely honest, and if Joe hasn’t been working on the gas tank that could very well signal his demise if the fight lasts into the third frame.

Pettis is technically superior in the striking department. Hell, he’s significantly superior, and the only thing that keeps Lauzon in the conversation when discussing a slug fest is his one-punch power. That said, while his submissions have looked smooth, I don’t think he’s quite as dangerous once this tussle makes its way to the mat. He also may not be savvy enough to avoid Joe’s tricky takedowns. However, if Pettis keeps the distance established, and takes Joe’s trips away, he’s got the defensive wrestling to fend off the double, or single leg attempts. He’s also a far more mobile fighter who throws with power even in retreat.

I like to see the unexpected, but I don’t think Lauzon has the offensive wrestling or striking acumen required to make that happen in this specific case. I see the predictable happening here, in Pettis peppering and picking up points as Lauzon fades. A big shot on the feet sets up the end and Anthony Pettis wins via TKO in the final moments of the second round.

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